Remember when the Sixers looked like a legitimate contender? Feels like ages ago, doesn't it? Back in late January, they were 29-17, riding high on Joel Embiid's MVP-caliber season. Then the meniscus tear happened, and everything went sideways. They've limped to a 9-15 record since, tumbling all the way down to ninth in the East. Now they welcome a Utah Jazz squad that’s frankly been one of the league's punching bags, sitting at 21-49. This *should* be an easy win for Philly, a chance to steady the ship. But these Embiid-less Sixers haven't earned the right to assume anything.
Thing is, the Jazz, despite their awful record, can still bite you if you don't show up. They just dropped 123 points on the Spurs last Tuesday, with Lauri Markkanen leading the charge with 27 points. Collin Sexton and Keyonte George aren't world-beaters, but they can get hot. Philly learned this lesson the hard way earlier in the season, losing 120-109 to Utah back on January 6th, even with Embiid dropping 30 points and Tyrese Maxey adding 25. That was a fully healthy Sixers team. This current version, without their MVP, is a different animal.
**Maxey's Heavy Burden**
Tyrese Maxey has been asked to carry an impossible load. He’s putting up career numbers, averaging 25.9 points and 6.3 assists. That's a huge leap from last year's 20.3 points and 3.5 assists. He had 30 points and seven assists against the Clippers on Wednesday, but it wasn't enough in a 108-107 loss. He’s doing everything he can, but he's not Embiid. No one is. The Sixers' offensive rating has plummeted from 118.6 with Embiid on the floor to 110.2 when he sits. That's a Grand Canyon-sized drop.
And it's not just offense. Embiid anchors their defense, too. Without him, opponents are scoring easier, getting to the rim with less resistance. The Jazz, despite their struggles, average 116.8 points per game, good for 13th in the league. They're not a high-efficiency team (46.8% from the field), but they play fast and take a lot of shots. If the Sixers come out flat, turning the ball over – something they've been prone to recently, averaging 14.5 turnovers in their last five games – Utah will make them pay. Look, this Jazz team has lost 10 straight games, including a 118-111 defeat to Dallas on Monday. They are desperate for a win. That makes them dangerous.
Here's my hot take: The Sixers are in serious danger of falling into the play-in tournament as the 9th or 10th seed, and if they don't treat this game like a must-win, they'll regret it. They need to come out with defensive intensity from the jump. Maxey needs help, and guys like Tobias Harris (who’s averaging 17.2 points this month) and Kelly Oubre Jr. (who had 17 against the Clippers) have to step up and make their open looks count.
I'm telling you, this isn't a guaranteed win. The Jazz are playing with house money, and the Sixers are playing with the weight of the world on their shoulders. If Philly doesn't treat this game against Utah with absolute focus, they're going to get burned. I predict a nail-biter, with the Sixers pulling it out 112-108, but only because Maxey goes off for 35 points.