Look, I get it. Stephen A. Smith is a showman. He lives for the hot take, the declarative statement that rattles the internet. But his recent pronouncement that Victor Wembanyama can "win it all this year" with the San Antonio Spurs? That's not just a hot take; it's a take so scorching it's detached from reality. We're talking about a Spurs team that, as of April 1, sits dead last in the Western Conference with a 19-58 record. "Win it all" means winning a championship. This year. Seriously?
Wemby is a generational talent, no argument there. The kid is 7-foot-4, moves like a guard, and blocks shots into the third row. He became the first rookie since Shaquille O'Neal in 1993-94 to record 100 blocks and 100 assists in a season. On March 29, he dropped 33 points, 18 rebounds, and 6 assists against the Knicks. He’s already got a triple-double with blocks, not just points and rebounds. The highlights are endless, the potential limitless. He's averaging 21.3 points, 10.7 rebounds, and an insane 3.6 blocks per game. Those are MVP-caliber numbers in a few years, maybe sooner.
But this isn't a one-man league. Never has been. Even LeBron needed D-Wade and Bosh. Michael Jordan had Pippen and Rodman. Wemby is surrounded by a roster that’s, well, still learning the ropes. Jeremy Sochan, Keldon Johnson, Devin Vassell – they're all solid pieces, but they aren't All-Stars yet. They're still figuring out how to play consistent NBA basketball. The team’s net rating is a putrid -9.8, third-worst in the league. They've been blown out more times than I care to count, like the 123-87 drubbing by the Rockets back in December.
Here's the thing: you don't go from 19 wins to hoisting the Larry O'Brien trophy in one offseason, even with a phenom like Wembanyama. The Western Conference is a bloodbath. You've got the defending champion Nuggets, the surging Thunder, the Celtics looking dominant in the East, and a slew of other teams like the Clippers and Timberwolves all built for deep playoff runs *right now*. To suggest the Spurs can leapfrog all of them in a matter of months is pure fantasy. It undermines the incredible amount of work and synergy it takes to build a contender.
I get the excitement. Wemby is electric. He makes you believe in possibilities. But Stephen A. is doing him a disservice by putting this kind of unrealistic expectation on his shoulders this early. It’s not about Wemby’s individual brilliance; it’s about the team around him. And that team is still several years and a few key pieces away from legitimate title contention. Spurs fans should be thrilled with the progress, ecstatic about Wemby's future. But a championship in 2025? No chance.
My bold prediction? The Spurs will make the play-in tournament next season, but they won't advance past the first round of the actual playoffs.